Wednesday 30 April 2008

Mayor Mare

Blimey, I am getting very wobbly about tomorrow's Mayoral election. The result feels like a mystery, wrapped up in an enigma, locked in a riddle at the bottom of Rupert Lewis's wallet. Deep, dark and very, very hard to penetrate.

Ken's polling is OK given the drubbing the Labour Party has had over the last few months. Our poll of polls (conducted at work) put Boris on about 43% and Ken on 40%. With a margin of error of about 3% this would make the result anyone's. On the other hand Ken is notorious at polling under the pundits' predictions. Last time out he came in at about 36%, although the turnout there was a factor.

The whole thing will stand and fall on two things: the weather (which impacts the "can't be bothered" faction - more likely to be Labour than the crazy-eyed Tory zealots desperate to ruin the city, eh Rupes? EH?) and the second preferences. If enough Lib Dems and Greens pick Ken he could just make it back.

What's awful is the "Boris is a right larf" mentality knocking around town at the moment. Charlie Brooker gets it spot on. Anyone that watched Question Time last week and thought that Boris had a grip of the issues and didn't have Lynton Crosby's hand up his back, wants locking up (IMHO).

Come on now. Be sensible. Vote Ken!

2 comments:

Rich Wiltshire said...

it is certainly close and I too have been having a wobble this last day or so...forecast is better for tomorrow though.

Rich

Anonymous said...

Love that Charlie Brooker article. The Boris vote seeem to be motivated purely by the 'I hate Ken, the ignorant newt loving Marxist' and 'Wouldn't he be a laugh'. Its terrifying really and rather embarrassing that in the massed ranks of Tory donors, Boris was the best they could come up with. But then, i'm not sure who i pity more, the tories themselves (ok..i'll probably never pity the tories) or the swing electorate who seems to have been taken in by the lovable pillock.